It’s Settled!

If history is any guide

If history is any guide, it is safe to say that weak solar activity for a prolonged period of time can have a cooling impact on global temperatures in the troposphere which is the bottom most layer of Earth’s atmosphere — and where we all live.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian

http://www.express.co.uk/news/science/717559/Earth-ICE-AGE-sun-goes-blank-sunspot

ICYMI

In Case You Missed It (ICYMI)

https://youtu.be/qxTmM9dDjrY

Science of Groupthink

2:30 video that might make you think…

https://youtu.be/IJIN9sACqmw

Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom

Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigues of supporting it.

Thomas Paine

50:1 Is there a Climate Change Solution?

https://youtu.be/Zw5Lda06iK0

The Corbett Report

Corbett Report

22 Reasons to be a skeptic of the IPCC

Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company.

Mark Twain

We have no reason to think that climate change is harmful if you look at the world as a whole. Most places, in fact, are better off being warmer than being colder. And historically, the really bad times for the environment and for people have been the cold periods rather than the warm periods.

Freeman Dyson

The 22 Inconvenient Truths

1. The Mean Global Temperature has been stable since 1997

2. 57% of the cumulative anthropic emissions since the beginning of the Industrial revolution have been emitted since 1997

3. The amount of CO₂ of the air from anthropic emissions is today no more than 6% of the total CO₂ in the air

4. The lifetime of CO₂ molecules in the atmosphere is about 5 years instead of the 100 years said by IPCC

5. The changes of the Mean Global Temperature are more or less sinusoidal with a well defined 60 year period.

6. The absorption of the radiation from the surface by the CO₂ of the air is nearly saturated

7. In some geological periods the CO₂ content of the air has been up to 20 times today’s content, and there has been no runaway temperature increase!

8. The sea level is increasing by about 1.3 mm/year according to the data of the tide-gauges

9. The “hot spot” in the inter-tropical high troposphere is, according to all “models” and to the IPCC reports, the indubitable proof of the water vapour feedback amplification of the warming: it has not been observed and does not exist

10. The water vapour content of the air has been roughly constant since more than 50 years but the humidity of the upper layers of the troposphere has been decreasing: the IPCC foretold the opposite to assert its “positive water vapour feedback” with increasing CO₂. The observed “feedback” is negative

11. The maximum surface of the Antarctic ice-pack has been increasing every year since we have satellite observations

12. The sum of the surfaces of the Arctic and Antarctic icepacks is about constant, their trends are phase-opposite; hence their total albedo is about constant

13. The measurements from the 3000 oceanic ARGO buoys since 2003 may suggest a slight decrease of the oceanic heat content between the surface and a depth 700 m with very significant regional differences

14. The observed outgoing longwave emission (or thermal infrared) of the globe is increasing, contrary to what models say on a would-be “radiative imbalance”; the “blanket” effect of CO₂ or CH₄ “greenhouse gases” is not seen

15. The Stefan Boltzmann formula does not apply to gases, as they are neither black bodies, nor grey bodies: why does the IPCC community use it for gases?

16. The trace gases absorb the radiation of the surface and radiate at the temperature of the air which is, at some height, most of the time slightly lower that of the surface. The trace-gases cannot “heat the surface“, according to the second principle of thermodynamics which prohibits heat transfer from a cooler body to a warmer body

17. The temperatures have always driven the CO₂ content of the air, never the reverse. Nowadays the net increment of the CO₂ content of the air follows very closely the inter-tropical temperature anomaly

18. The CLOUD project at the European Center for Nuclear Research is probing the Svensmark-Shaviv hypothesis on the role of cosmic rays modulated by the solar magnetic field on the low cloud coverage; the first and encouraging results have been published in Nature

19. Numerical “Climate models” are not consistent regarding cloud coverage which is the main driver of the surface temperatures.

20. The forecasts of the “climate models” are diverging more and more from the observations

21. As said by IPCC in its TAR (2001) “we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

22. Last but not least the IPCC is neither a scientific organization nor an independent organization…The governing body of the IPCC is made of a minority of scientists almost all of them promoters of the environmentalist ideology, and a majority of state representatives and of non-governmental green organizations

Read the whole story Here

Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.

Mark Twain

40 million in the desert

Residents of a Southern California neighborhood are concerned about the fact that the water flowing out of the taps in their homes is the color black. That’s right; the water coming out of their faucets is indeed black — not gray, not cloudy — but black. Inky, opaque black water that the water company says is okay to drink.

Natural News

California has experienced a drought.  Of course 1000 years ago it was a desert.  Since declaring an emergency, water use has dropped 9%…9%?  Oh well, it won’t affect me. I’ve been struggling with cold and snow.

Think the drought in California isn’t a problem for you?  Guess where our fruits and vegetables come from.

-99 percent of the artichokes

-44 percent of asparagus

-two-thirds of carrots

-half of bell peppers

-89 percent of cauliflower

-94 percent of broccoli

-95 percent of celery

-90 percent of the leaf lettuce

-83 percent of Romaine lettuce

-83 percent of fresh spinach

-a third of the fresh tomatoes

-86 percent of lemons

-90 percent of avocados

-84 percent of peaches

-88 percent of fresh strawberries

-97 percent of fresh plums

California is turning into a desert

Sadly, it's much easier to create a desert than a forest.

James Lovelock

So I failed. I was a fool to try.

So I failed. I was a fool to try. I let myself forget that I was dealing with a class of people where the gap between actual and perceived ability is not only wide, but is a gaping chasm. To expect mainstream science reporters to understand science is like asking an environmentalist to be reasonable. I should have remembered most journalists suffer from reporteritis, the degrading ailment whereby because reporters cover important people and events they come believe they are important, too. Sadly, there is no known cure.

William Briggs

This concerns the paper Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I wrote entitled “Why models run hot“, which carries the good news that we have a potential and likely explanation why climate models perform so badly that they should not be trusted.

Yet instead of celebrating this or at least asking relevant or pertinent questions related to the physics, those of a certain political persuasion panicked. What matters to these sad people is not truth but belief. Only evidence which is consonant with their belief is countenanced. Evidence which questions or refutes their belief isn’t challenged or engaged, instead it is anathematized, and the bearers of the bad tidings are damned and hounded.

Now it is utterly, completely, starkly irrelevant, and obvious to any but a bug-eyed zealot, how the four of us came to our result. It does not matter if Greenpeace itself, as that cult-like organization often does, paid for the writing of the paper. It doesn’t matter if the government, awash as it is in billions, asked us to do the work. It even doesn’t matter if we discovered the results printed small on a Chinese fortune cookie. The result is what and is all that is important.

http://wmbriggs.com/post/15337/

You’ve heard it said that the science is settled. And it’s true. It is settled—settled beyond the possibility of any dispute. A fundamental, inescapable, indubitable bedrock scientific principle is that lousy theories make lousy predictions.

Climate forecasts are lousy, therefore it is settled science that they must necessarily be based on lousy theories. And lousy theories should not be trusted.

William Briggs

The real truth of the matter is

The real truth of the matter is, as you and I know, that a financial element in the large centers has owned the government of the U.S. since the days of Andrew Jackson.

Franklin Delano Roosevelt

Prices are going up. Unemployment continues to go up. And we have not had the necessary correction for the financial bubble created by our Federal Reserve system.

Ron Paul

My favorite number is right at the top of the BLS table and it’s 155.9 million. That is the civilian labor force number for September and it compares to 154.9 million reported for October 2008 way back when the financial crisis was just erupting. The reason that rather tepid gain of 1 million labor force participants over the course of six years is important is that during the same period the working age civilian population (over 16 years) rose from 234.6 million to 248.4 million—-or by 14 million in round terms.

That’s right, the labor force grew by only 7% of the gain in adult population. That explains, of course, why the labor force participation rate of 66.0% back at the time of the crisis has plunged to a 36-year low of 62.7% in September. Or to put it another way, the employment-to-population ratio of 59.0% last month compared to just under 62% six years ago and 64.2% in the year 2000.

David Stockman

It is well that the people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning.

Henry Ford

In fact, even the current administration now is releasing recent reports indicating that climate change is real, that global warming is occurring, that it is heavily influenced by man-made objects and that it is something we cannot ignore any longer.

Ron Kind

Meanwhile:

Light snow followed a cold front into the Chicago area Saturday morning, the third earliest we've seen a trace of the stuff dating back to 1881.

A band of rain and snow started spreading across northern Illinois shortly before 7 a.m., according to the National Weather Service.

For Chicago, it's the third earliest snow on record.  The earliest traces of snow dating back to 1881 are Sept. 25, 1928 and Sept. 25, 1944.

Chicago Tribune

The first fall of snow is not only an event, it is a magical event. You go to bed in one kind of a world and wake up in another quite different, and if this is not enchantment then where is it to be found?

J. B. Priestley

Prostituting the weather and climate for your own needs.

“If you really paid attention to what happened, the mask is off, and I appreciate that those people that organized this came out and let us know who they were. If you look at the list of people, Communist Party USA, Socialists. Fine, if you want to have that debate, that debate should be done at the polling place and should be done in the halls of Congress or try to change laws. It shouldn’t be prostituting the weather and climate for your own needs.”

Bastardi stated there are technical disagreements that can be addressed among scientists, but really doesn’t rise to any level of concern for the general public.

“This is ridiculous. This should be two weather geeks arguing over a chess game with a cup of tea or whatever you want to drink. The whole thing is blown out, it’s one of the weirdest arguments I’ve ever been involved with, because in the end, there is nothing new under the sun, and nature, not man, rules the climate system.”

Bastardi on CBS

http://www.weatherbell.com/

What if you gave a climate summit and no one came

The loneliest moment in someone’s life is when they are watching their whole world fall apart, and all they can do is stare blankly.
F. Scott Fitzgerald, The Great Gatsby

President Obama and UN Secretary General Bank Ki-Moon have arranged a climate summit (UN Climate Summit 2014) at the UN next week. 

Aussie PM Tony Abbott has more important matters to attend to, such as running the country.

Chinese President Xi Jinping likely won’t attend.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi  likely won’t attend.

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper indicated that he will not attend.

Angela Merkel, will not be attending the UN climate summit.

WUWT

It is strange to be known so universally and yet to be so lonely.

Albert Einstein

Warming in-equals-warming out

Most men only care for science so far as they get a living by it, but they will
worship error when it affords them a subsistence.

Goethe

Read the article at: http://www.institutionaladvisors.com/

They've been brainwashing us for 20 years

They've been brainwashing us for 20 years, starting with the nuclear winter and now with the global warming. This scare will also run its course. In 15–20 years, we'll look back and see what a hoax this was.

The main misconception of the global warmers is to assume that all the many large energy terms of the climate system remain constant over long periods and that the only changes that matter for climate alteration are the very small magnitude variations of human-induced CO₂.
How could the warmers be so naïve as to believe that changes in CO₂ are the dominant climate forcing mechanism?

William M. Gray

Abstract

Increases in CO2 and other greenhouse gases will not be able to bring about significant climate disruption in the next 75-100 years. The main problem with the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) theory is the false treatment of the global hydrologic cycle which is not adequately understood by any of the AGW advocates. The water vapor, cloud, and condensation-evaporation assumptions within the conventional AGW theory and the (GCM) simulations are incorrectly designed to block too much infrared (IR) radiation to space. They also do not reflect-scatter enough short wave (albedo) energy to space. These two misrepresentations result in a large artificial warming that is not realistic. A realistic treatment of the hydrologic cycle would show that the influence of a doubling of CO2 should lead to a global surface warming of only about 0.3°C – not the 3°C warming as indicated by the climate simulations.

The global surface warming of about 0.7°C that has been experienced over the last 150 years and the multi-decadal up-and-down global temperature changes of 0.3-0.4°C that have been observed over this period are hypothesized to be driven by a combination of multi-century and multi-decadal ocean circulation changes. These ocean changes are due to naturally occurring upper ocean salinity variations. Changes in CO2 play little role in these salinity driven ocean climate forcings.

William Gray, The Physical Flaws of the Global Warming Theory and Deep Ocean Circulation Changes as the Primary Climate Driver http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Publications/gray2012.pdf

AGW theory fails because the basic physics behind it is flawed. Its primary scientific justification has come from global climate model simulations which have serious embedded physical assumption errors. These model assumption errors cause their 75-100 year climate forecast simulations to give unrealistically too high global warming results by a factor as much as 10. These GCMs indicate that when CO2 doubles near the end of this century that the global average surface temperature should increase by about 3°C. All of the 19 global numerical models calculations that were discussed in the latest IPCC-AR4 (2007) report show about the same 3°C global warming for a doubling of CO2 (Figures 16 and 17). If this magnitude of warming were realistic it would bring about a major disruption in our global climate system and severely impact all life on earth. But it is not physically possible for this magnitude of 3°C global warming to occur as a consequence of the doubling of CO2 and a resulting blockage of but 3.7 Wm-2. All the global circulation models have the same major physical flaw which is known as the ‘positive water-vapor feedback loop’.

The data don't matter

The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed — and hence clamorous to be led to safety — by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary." And, "The urge to save humanity is almost always only a false face for the urge to rule it.

H. L. Menken

We just need Anne Elk’s Theory on Climate Change

The data don't matter. We're not basing our recommendations [for reductions in carbon dioxide emissions] upon the data. We're basing them upon the climate models.

Chris Folland (UK Meteorological Office)

http://www.c3headlines.com/global-warming-quotes-climate-change-quotes.html

Watermelons of the world unite!

So-called environmentalists are best described as “watermelons” — green on the outside and red on the inside.  Environmentalism has from the very beginning been a communistic scheme to abolish markets and replace them with socialism and central planning.  In the early twentieth century, communists claimed that they wanted to help “the people.”  Having failed miserably at the cost of over a hundred million citizens murdered by their own socialist governments, and the creation of grinding poverty wherever they “succeeded,” they never gave up.  They immediately decided, “the hell with the people.”  People Schmeeple.  “We’re for the bugs and snakes and rocks and trees, they announced.  THIS is what is important — “the planet.”  And “the planet is supposedly being destroyed by capitalism and can only be saved by socialism and central planning.

Thomas DiLorenzo

The Polar Vortex is back

July 2014 – AUSTRALIA - If you are lucky enough to be reading this from the comfort of your blankets, it might be best to stay there, as Brisbane has hit its coldest temperatures in 103 years. Not since July 28 1911 has Brisbane felt this cold, getting down to a brisk 2.6C at 6.41am. At 7am, it inched up to 3.3C. Matt Bass, meteorologist from BOM, said the region was well below our average temperatures. “If it felt cold, that’s because it was, breaking that record is pretty phenomenal for Brisbane,” Bass said. “The average for this time of year is 12C, so Brisbane was about 9C below average, it is pretty impressive really, to have the coldest morning in 103 years is a big record.”
Coldest June in Antarctica ever recorded: Antarctica continues to defy the global warming script, with a report from Meteo France, that June this year was the coldest Antarctic June ever recorded, at the French Antarctic Dumont d’Urville Station. According to the press release, during June this year, the average temperature was -22.4c (-8.3F), 6.6c (11.9F) lower than normal.

Peak Oil

Extinction Protocol

WUWT

Temperature data adjustments

Looking at the ORNL data (RAW) below, it appears that I don’t need to move to higher land just yet.  The ‘debate’ over settled science is more like chasing scandals than science.

ORNL

But wait, there’s more…

The next two graphs show how the data was altered.  Maybe the real story is in the Raw data and the last graph…

Both raw and adjusted data from the NCDC has been examined for a selected Contiguous U. S. set of rural and urban stations, 48 each or one per State. The raw data provides 0.13 and 0.79 oC/century temperature increase for the rural and urban environments. The adjusted data provides 0.64 and 0.77 oC/century respectively. The rates for the raw data appear to correspond to the historical change of rural and urban U. S. populations and indicate warming is due to urban warming. Comparison of the adjusted data for the rural set to that of the raw data shows a systematic treatment that causes the rural adjusted set’s temperature rate of increase to be 5-fold more than that of the raw data. The adjusted urban data set’s and raw urban data set’s rates of temperature increase are the same. This suggests the consequence of the NCDC’s protocol for adjusting the data is to cause historical data to take on the time-line characteristics of urban data. The consequence intended or not, is to report a false rate of temperature increase for the Contiguous U. S.

Read the report here: Contiguous U.S. Temperature Trends Using NCDC Raw and Adjusted Data for One-Per-State Rural and Urban Station Sets

Hmmmm…

I think that people have grossly overestimated…

Education is the most powerful weapon which you can use to change the world.

Nelson Mandela

 

All human beings should try to learn before they die what they are running from, and to, and why.

James Thurber