Friday, May 15, 2015

22 Reasons to be a skeptic of the IPCC

Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company.

Mark Twain

We have no reason to think that climate change is harmful if you look at the world as a whole. Most places, in fact, are better off being warmer than being colder. And historically, the really bad times for the environment and for people have been the cold periods rather than the warm periods.

Freeman Dyson

The 22 Inconvenient Truths

1. The Mean Global Temperature has been stable since 1997

2. 57% of the cumulative anthropic emissions since the beginning of the Industrial revolution have been emitted since 1997

3. The amount of CO2 of the air from anthropic emissions is today no more than 6% of the total CO2 in the air

4. The lifetime of CO2 molecules in the atmosphere is about 5 years instead of the 100 years said by IPCC

5. The changes of the Mean Global Temperature are more or less sinusoidal with a well defined 60 year period.

6. The absorption of the radiation from the surface by the CO2 of the air is nearly saturated

7. In some geological periods the CO2 content of the air has been up to 20 times today’s content, and there has been no runaway temperature increase!

8. The sea level is increasing by about 1.3 mm/year according to the data of the tide-gauges

9. The “hot spot” in the inter-tropical high troposphere is, according to all “models” and to the IPCC reports, the indubitable proof of the water vapour feedback amplification of the warming: it has not been observed and does not exist

10. The water vapour content of the air has been roughly constant since more than 50 years but the humidity of the upper layers of the troposphere has been decreasing: the IPCC foretold the opposite to assert its “positive water vapour feedback” with increasing CO2. The observed “feedback” is negative

11. The maximum surface of the Antarctic ice-pack has been increasing every year since we have satellite observations

12. The sum of the surfaces of the Arctic and Antarctic icepacks is about constant, their trends are phase-opposite; hence their total albedo is about constant

13. The measurements from the 3000 oceanic ARGO buoys since 2003 may suggest a slight decrease of the oceanic heat content between the surface and a depth 700 m with very significant regional differences

14. The observed outgoing longwave emission (or thermal infrared) of the globe is increasing, contrary to what models say on a would-be “radiative imbalance”; the “blanket” effect of CO2 or CH4 “greenhouse gases” is not seen

15. The Stefan Boltzmann formula does not apply to gases, as they are neither black bodies, nor grey bodies: why does the IPCC community use it for gases?

16. The trace gases absorb the radiation of the surface and radiate at the temperature of the air which is, at some height, most of the time slightly lower that of the surface. The trace-gases cannot “heat the surface“, according to the second principle of thermodynamics which prohibits heat transfer from a cooler body to a warmer body

17. The temperatures have always driven the CO2 content of the air, never the reverse. Nowadays the net increment of the CO2 content of the air follows very closely the inter-tropical temperature anomaly

18. The CLOUD project at the European Center for Nuclear Research is probing the Svensmark-Shaviv hypothesis on the role of cosmic rays modulated by the solar magnetic field on the low cloud coverage; the first and encouraging results have been published in Nature

19. Numerical “Climate models” are not consistent regarding cloud coverage which is the main driver of the surface temperatures.

20. The forecasts of the “climate models” are diverging more and more from the observations

21. As said by IPCC in its TAR (2001) “we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

22. Last but not least the IPCC is neither a scientific organization nor an independent organization…The governing body of the IPCC is made of a minority of scientists almost all of them promoters of the environmentalist ideology, and a majority of state representatives and of non-governmental green organizations

Read the whole story Here

Climate is what we expect, weather is what we get.

Mark Twain

1 comment:

  1. Darn. So now the only reason to conserve energy, reduce reliance on fossil fuels and R&D better, cleaner, more sustainable energy sources is to... what? breathe clean air and drink clean water - oh, and save money? Seems silly when you put it that way.


You are not entitled to your opinion. You are entitled to your informed opinion. No one is entitled to be ignorant.

Harlan Ellison