Friday, January 9, 2009

Not Global Warming Again

"Global Warming is over and the world has been colder every year than its peak a decade ago and this general cooling will continue for at least two decades. There is no evidence that CO2 levels ever have or ever will influence temperatures - rather the evidence is the other way around.”

Piers Corbyn

The following two articles show the current state of climate change predictions. If you have the time follow the links. If you want to know enough about climate change to be dangerous, read the hockey stick article at the bottom of the post. If you want to believe in global warming and it’s important to you, do not read the latest UN report that I have been told implies absolute consensus about global warming at BTW, I have read the report, and it does not.

Pacific continues to influence climate

30 December 2008

2009 is expected to be one of the top-five warmest years on record, despite continued cooling of huge areas of the tropical Pacific Ocean, a phenomenon known as La Niña.

According to climate scientists at the Met Office and the University of East Anglia the global temperature is forecast to be more than 0.4 °C above the long-term average. This would make 2009 warmer than the year just gone and the warmest since 2005.

During La Niña, cold waters rise to the surface to cool the ocean and land surface temperatures. The 2009 forecast includes an updated decadal forecast using a Met Office climate model. This indicates a rapid return of global temperature to the long-term warming trend, with an increasing probability of record temperatures after 2009.

Professor Chris Folland from the Met Office Hadley Centre said: "Phenomena such as El Niño and La Niña have a significant influence on global surface temperature. Warmer conditions in 2009 are expected because the strong cooling influence of the recent powerful La Niña has given way to a weaker La Niña. Further warming to record levels is likely once a moderate El Niño develops."

These cyclical influences can mask underlying warming trends as Professor Phil Jones, Director of the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, explains: "The fact that 2009, like 2008, will not break records does not mean that global warming has gone away. What matters is the underlying rate of warming - the period 2001-2007, with an average of 14.44 °C, was 0.21 °C warmer than corresponding values for the period 1991-2000."

The Met Office Hadley Centre advises the UK government on climate change research. Its work is, in part, jointly funded by Defra (Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs); DECC (Dept for Energy and Climate Change and MoD (Ministry of Defence).

Met Office Release

Weather Action's Long-Range Forecast for World Temperatures 2009

"The Met Office's recent forecast that the world in 2009 will be in the warmest 5 on record will fail (See above), instead 2009 is likely to be similar to or colder than 2008. All their recent climate forecasts have failed and this one will too. It is high time that politicians recognised reality so I challenge the Met Office to a bet that their forecast will fail and world temperatures 2009 will be cooler than the 'top 5'.

"It should be noted that the Met office prognoses of world temperatures have consistently failed and their long range forecasts only mislead the public and serve the political, business and taxation intentions of the Global Warming and Climate Change Lobby. While Met Office and WMO prognoses have failed and demonstrate zero skill

"The proponents of man-made Global warming frequently hide behind supposed 'El Nino / la Nina' effects to cover-up the failure of their theory. This approach is disingenuous since it does little more than essentially describe warmer years as 'El Nino' years and colder ones as 'La Nina' so when the world turns out colder than they expected they say 'Ah that's because of La Nina'. Their problem (see ++) is that even after all these flexible allowances (given the many and somewhat inconsistent measures & definitions of El Nino and La Nina) temperatures are going down further than their expectations. Soon they will be talking about 'unusually and strangely strong La Ninas' which in the end will amount to saying the world would be warmer but for the Pacific - the largest ocean in the world - getting colder. Their approach, like the way they use the concept of Climate Change confuses description with cause and in the end is admission that natural process negate their whole theory", said Piers

Pers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeatherAction long-range forecasters issued his forecast for World temperatures 2009 which directly contradicts the Met office & World Meteorological Organisation's forecasts and challenges the Met Office to a bet.

Weather Action Release

If you know what the hockey stick curve is see Hockey Stick If you don’t, you can still find out why it’s wrong. But then you may not believe in Global Warming anymore.

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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are entitled to your informed opinion. No one is entitled to be ignorant.

Harlan Ellison